HOUR Prediction Rule

Association Rule Mining and Classifier Approach for 48-Hour Rainfall Prediction Over Cuddalore Station of East Coast of India

The methodology of data mining techniques has been presented for the rain forecasting models for the Cuddalore (11°43′ N/79°49′ E) station of Tamilnadu in East Coast of India. Data mining approaches like classification and association mining was applied to generate results for rain prediction before 48 hour of the actual occurrence of the rain. The objective of this study is to demonstrate what...

Real-time prediction intervals for intra-hour DNI forecasts

We develop a hybrid, real-time solar forecasting computational model to construct prediction intervals (PIs) of one-minute averaged direct normal irradiance for four intra-hour forecasting horizons: five, ten, fifteen, and 20 min. This hybrid model, which integrates sky imaging techniques, support vector machine and artificial neural network sub-models, is developed using one year of co-located...

An hour-ahead prediction model for heavy-tailed spot prices

We propose an hour-ahead prediction model for electricity prices that captures the heavy-tailed behavior that we observe in the hourly spot market in the Ercot (Texas) and the PJM West hub grids. We present a model according to which we separate the price process into a thin-tailed trailing-median process and a heavytailed residual process whose probability distribution can be approximated by a...

Prediction of one-hour running performance using constant duration tests.

Critical velocity (CV) represents, theoretically, the highest velocity that can be sustained without fatigue. The aim of this study was to compare CV computed from 5 mathematical models in order to determine which CV estimate is better correlated with 1-hour performance and which model provides the most accurate prediction of performance. Twelve trained middle- and long-distance male runners (2...

Fast Congestion Prediction by Rent’s Rule